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Interestingly. from those GA stats, the number of litters born in 2014 of 3364 was the highest since 2007 which had 3373
The period between 2008 and 2013 was a period of decline in litters born
2015 will obviously be a poor year but the number of litters increasing in 2014 was indicative of the popularity of the sport
If it can be handled and marketed well by our powers that be, during this dark time, there is no reason why this sport cannot take off again and the enjoyment that we once had can be regained by all participants, not just the big breeders and kennels
The main issue will always be welfare and what happens to the dogs before, during and after racing
If this can be managed well, then the sport has a terrific chance of recoupment of lost ground
Jan 2014 400 matings . Jan 2015 358 matings = down 42 Feb 2014 296 matings Feb 2015 264 matings = down 32 Mar 2014 272 matings Mar 2015 204 matings = down 68 Apr 2014 186 matings Apr 2015 154 matings = down 32 May 2014 229 matings .. May 2015 105 matings = down 124 June 2014 190 matings .. June 2015 104 matings = down 86 July 2014 218 matings .. July 2015 116 matings = down 102
These (national) figures are not 100% accurate as there will be a few services added to June and Julys numbers due to the states lag times but they are not far off and certainly are fairly accurate up until the end of May but regardless, as things currently stand to the end of July, service numbers for this year are down 486 when compared to 2014
The biggest drop off has occurred in the last 3 months and if it keeps going at that same rate .. we will end up down around 1000 services which will translate to around 800/900 less litters, at a guess
The interesting point is that GRV currently has only 46 matings listed for August ... of course that will update considerably but there were 254 matings last year so I can't see it getting anywhere near that ... my guess is just over 100 ... maybe 120 to 150 which will mean another big drop off ... I think August will tell the tale
Anthony McVicker Australia (Verified User) Posts 1439 Dogs 24 / Races 126 01 Sep 2015 04:46
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I haven't had time to review the GA site fully but I didn't notice something
Look at nsw 2013 vs 2014 and look at races held vs no of starters ? Is this correct?
So why aren't people breeding? Aren't we the ones that control the destiny of the industry?
Steven Martin Australia (Verified User) Posts 7681 Dogs 180 / Races 66 01 Sep 2015 06:15
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Arhhh......Look on the bright side guys/gals. At least next years stud-book should be published on time as it'll only contain 50 pages lol.
Seriously thou....Has anyone received this years (which REAL is last years) book yet. I'm on the mailing list but haven't heard anything since I last made contact with GA around 6 weeks ago.....where I was told they will be publishing it & I'll be notified by email.
Anyone ?????
Billy Ferguson Australia (Verified User) Posts 442 Dogs 0 / Races 0 01 Sep 2015 06:53
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I would be breeding if RQ could make a decisiom any decision would be welcome but no, no decision has been made they told me early this week nothing yet, the girl who I spoke to is on leave, how do you get leave at Rq none seem to have been there more than a couple of months
Steve O'Brien Australia (Verified User) Posts 183 Dogs 82 / Races 0 01 Sep 2015 08:54
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steven martin wrote:
Arhhh......Look on the bright side guys/gals. At least next years stud-book should be published on time as it'll only contain 50 pages lol.
Seriously thou....Has anyone received this years (which REAL is last years) book yet. I'm on the mailing list but haven't heard anything since I last made contact with GA around 6 weeks ago.....where I was told they will be publishing it & I'll be notified by email.
Anyone ?????
Rang them last week and was told 3 to 4 weeks away .
Steven Martin Australia (Verified User) Posts 7681 Dogs 180 / Races 66 02 Sep 2015 03:12
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Thx Steve
Anthony McVicker Australia (Verified User) Posts 1439 Dogs 24 / Races 126 25 Sep 2015 05:57
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Still think we need to wait until mid Nov, when the end Oct services are registered, but I will have an early guess
Steven Martin Australia (Verified User) Posts 7681 Dogs 180 / Races 66 25 Sep 2015 06:06
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Nice work Anthony, but your being rather generous with your *estimates........I hope your right.
Anthony McVicker Australia (Verified User) Posts 1439 Dogs 24 / Races 126 25 Sep 2015 06:19
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yes steve, so far in sept only 42 registered services and I estimated 218
Services for 2015 calender year could be down by upto 56% based on my worse case scenario
still like to see end oct numbers
Anthony McVicker Australia (Verified User) Posts 1439 Dogs 24 / Races 126 25 Sep 2015 06:26
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this is services not litters whelped, using a calc with GA data, apprx 4.5% of services fail
does this seem correct ???
Steven Martin Australia (Verified User) Posts 7681 Dogs 180 / Races 66 25 Sep 2015 06:44
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I've got some tables that suggest an average of 9.5% of services miss Anthony, but in recent times most studmasters & Vets have since had massive advances in technology through blood progesterone testing & A.I. as you'd know.
I'd say 8% of misses would be a more acceptable level...give and take a point here & there.
Anthony Jeffress Australia (Verified User) Posts 3669 Dogs 54 / Races 10 25 Sep 2015 06:45
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I'd personally be surprised if conception rate was as high as 95.5% overall.I'd have thought 90-92%.
Average litter size I think is generally around 6-6.2 pups.
Steven Martin Australia (Verified User) Posts 7681 Dogs 180 / Races 66 25 Sep 2015 06:52
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The average litter size (by my records in Australia) over the last 25 years for SIRES that have produced more than 20 litters is 6.28 pups.
Anthony McVicker Australia (Verified User) Posts 1439 Dogs 24 / Races 126 25 Sep 2015 07:56
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well take 10% of my numbers to get whelpes with pups and i used 6.5 pups per litter, so if you use 6-6.2 the numbers will be far worse
Anthony McVicker Australia (Verified User) Posts 1439 Dogs 24 / Races 126 13 Oct 2015 21:44
Do you have questions about breeding theories? 
